World Cup 100 Million Mania Promo

The biggest show on earth is around the corner and related casino promos are starting to come thick and fast.  Dublinbet’s spot the jersey promo is already underway, Paddy Power are madly manufacturing dildos for the England’s WAGs, and a few of the bigger casinos are no doubt including game tickets and trips to South Africa in their VIP loyalty programs.

Yesterday I received an email from Titan Casino informing me that their sports betting division are putting $100,000,000 up for grabs in a World Cup match tipping comp. It’s not a promo related to their live casino – but with this sort for cash up for grabs I figured it worthy of a mention here.

What’s the deal?

It’s a straight tipping comp. The player that picks the most winners out of the 64 matches played at the World Cup gets $1 million.

As an added teaser, if you pick ALL 64 games correctly you get $100 million.  To enter the comp just visit Titanbet via the banner at left and follow the prompts.

What are the odds?

…that someone will win $1 million – this is guaranteed to happen…for 1 tipster.

…that someone will win $100 million – you’re a better chance to win the lottery!

I’m no mathematician but if I hark back to year 12 maths, I believe the odds of nailing a 64-match correct-tipping-streak would be equal to the product of all 64 correct outcome probabilities…

(Pr Game1) x (Pr Game2) x (Pr Game 3) … x (Pr Game 64)

Let’s say you’re an amazingly astute tipster, and have an average 80% probability of picking each game correctly.  You’re odds of getting all 64 right will be o.8 to the power of 64 which is equal to 1/1,593,092.  If you’re a very good tipster, and have an average 70% probability of picking each game correctly, your odds of a perfect record becomes 1/8,198,330,820.  If you’re only a 50/50 chance per game…you’re in trouble – see below.

Hit rate	Your odds are 1 chance in…
80%	1,593,092
75%	99,101,252
70%	8,198,330,821
65%	940,903,696,764
60%	157,877,403,574,267
55%	41,379,750,939,976,100
50%	18,446,744,073,709,600,000

Like I said, you’re a better chance of winning your local lottery than the $100 million.  But with that kind of cash on the line, you’d expect your chances to be slim, and good on Titanbet for running a cracker promo.